The Persian Year 1400, Iranians Renew Push for Regime Change. This weekend, Iranians in Iran and throughout the world are celebrating Nowruz and marking the start of the year 1400 on the Persian calendar. We are told that the young, educated, westernized part of the population seethes under the autocratic and medieval mullahs who hold power. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(15), pp. “They reflect that Iran’s economy began to shrug off maximum pressure while Trump was still aimlessly pursuing that policy.”. We learned this week that Trump asked for plans to bomb Iran, but the full scope of the issue went largely unaddressed. But no such transformation will ever take place, because the Iranian regime remains a revolutionary movement that will never accommodate the United States. Trump says US not seeking regime change in Iran but warns against retaliation for Soleimani killing. “The Biden [administration] is already giving major concessions,” he tweeted. Brands’ prediction of a return to Cold War-era covert regime change looks like it might be coming true. In 2020, supporters of the Trump administration’s policy of “maximum pressure” against the Islamic Republic of Iran defend regime change as a feasible and “liberal” policy option . The IRGC will likely play a more active political role in Iran, which means talks with the US are unlikely to resume. By throwing Iran’s rulers an economic lifeline, they believe, the deal is an abject failure. Ambassador James Jeffrey is just reminding us how complicated and counterproductive our policy is there — if there is one. ... That’s good, because regime change of that sort is not a legitimate function of U.S. foreign policy. By MIKE HUCKABEE . 2729-2739.ISSN (print) 0262-6667 Decades earlier, when Ali Khamenei replaced Rohollah Khomeini in 1986, Mr. Tehrani predicted the new Supreme leader would be a “disaster” for Iran — and for Islam. The yellow line includes an analysis of 87 decision makers in Iran, and a vast number of outside influencers trying to pressure Iran into changing its behavior, various players in the United States, and Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, and Russia, European Union, Japan, so on and so forth. Trump’s Regime Change Policy for Iran Is a Fevered Fantasy — It Will Only Promote Chaos and Instability After Qassim Suleimani’s assassination, we may already be at war with Iran. The election came just days after the outbreak of the first coronavirus case in Iran, and the supreme leader blamed Iran's enemies for misinformation, disinformation and exaggerating the threat, thus discouraging people from turning out. In the book ‘The Secret War with Iran’, Bergman has written a history of encounters between Iran and the Zionist regime, while the bulk of the book relates to the Lebanese Hezbollah -Iran… Under president Trump, the US goverment has adopted a policy of maximum presure towards the government of Iran, in an effort to curb its nuclear ambitions and proxy warfare. Rumors Of A Full-Scale war Between Russia And Ukraine. Zarif Reacts To Trump Regime Collapse Prediction September 01, 2018 By Radio Farda; Iran -- tehran - javad zarf in parliament. The GOP senator has been calling for war with Iran for years, and is now circulating a letter some Democrats are reportedly going to sign. Chronologically, this prediction starts with the overthrow of the Shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, by the Islamic Revolution of Iran of 1979. Outcome: Correct. Is Iran Headed for Regime Change? On Sunday, October 14, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said that current US administration is in psychological and economic war with Iran and its ultimate goal is to delegitimize the system and to change the regime of Islamic Republic. Prediction of climate change effects on the runoff regime of a forested catchment in northern Iran By Farhad Hajian, Alan P. Dykes, Bagher Zahabiyoun and Maia Ibsen Cite The group, also known as the MEK, or Peoples' Mujahdin Organization of Iran, first waged a battle against the Shah of Iran and then turned its calling to opposing the current regime… Hajian, Farhad, Dykes, Alan P., Zahabiyoun, Bagher and Ibsen, Maia (2016) Prediction of climate change effects on the runoff regime of a forested catchment in northern Iran. And that’s how it works: Iran hawks have created their narrative for the path to regime change or war — in this case to make it as politically difficult as possible for Biden to ease sanctions and restore U.S. compliance with the JCPOA. The Iran Uprising is a game changer. The result was a series of mass shootings across dozens of Iranian cities. And in Syria, Russia and Iran—determined to undermine U.S.-sponsored regime change in part lest Americans get the idea of trying it one day in Moscow or Tehran—responded to every U.S. escalation with a counterescalation of their own. That probably spells doom for the nuclear deal." The regime has been delegitimized for large portions of the Iranian population. The traditionally cheerful occasion will undoubtedly be viewed as an opportunity for positive transition, especially in the wake of the awful suffering and loss of life caused by the coronavirus … This is what they do—regime change and color revolutions around the world, one way or another. Iran’s economy suffered a great shock during the first half of 2020, recording a $279 million negative trade balance. If Mahmoud Ahmadinejad prevails--and that is by no means certain--he will be greatly weakened, handcuffed in his ability to play the nuclear card as a nationalist rallying cry. But that’s not true, as Sune Engel Rasmussen — the Journal reporter who wrote the piece Dubowitz cited — later pointed out. Experts have warned, however, that the killing of QUDS leader Qassem Soleimani could lead to a … “In the last 4 years, hunger, poverty, and dire economic conditions have been the initial trigger of the uprisings, but people’s demands quickly evolved to regime change. Among the most strident critics of the nuclear deal with Iran are those who believe it furthers the survival of its leadership. That’s what happens when the ruling regime steals from its people and invests in Assad—instead of creating jobs for Iranians, they ruin the economy. If many of the preconditions for regime change are in place, is the time right? Here's How . Foundation for the Defense of Democracies CEO Mark Dubowitz is best known for his leadership in promoting “economic warfare” against Iran as a means to foment regime change in Tehran or outright war with the Islamic Republic. Diker noted the prediction of the late Uri Lubrani, the last Israeli Ambassador to Iran, “that popular discontent would lead to regime change rather than an external attack.” He noted that the Iranian people are fundamentally democratic and opposed to living under an Islamic terrorist supporting regime. A group of more than 300 prominent Iranian Americans are petitioning the Biden administration to publicly support dissident efforts to overthrow the Islamic Republic’s hardline clerical government. According to a statement today, nothing has changed. What about your old prediction about Iran and regime change? Washington, D.C. - Feb. 28, 2020 - U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo testifies during a House Foreign Affairs Committee, on Capitol Hill. “Those protests raised hopes among Iran hawks in the U.S. that their dreams of regime change might soon be realized.” A war with a major Middle Eastern power is … Date: February 2012. Young Iranians want regime change. How US media manipulates Iran’s nuclear program into a sinister myth, The NYT’s Trump Iran ‘attack’ story and the failures of foreign policy reporting, VIDEO: FDD’s online harassment against critics of Trump’s State Department. Prediction is perilous in any situation this chaotic. In the first week of February, a group of 38 activists signed an open letter calling for U.S.-led regime change, while over 200 activists signed an opposing letter calling for renewed U.S.-Iranian diplomacy and an end to economic sanctions. Since the revolution in 1979, suggestions have repeatedly been made that a new revolution is in the works. Yet Dubowitz has yet to issue a correction or delete his tweet. So the numbers are actually very important, and it [the regime] tried to downplay the low turnout. Didn't you write a while back that the longer the Syrian civil war goes on, the greater the chance for an upheaval in Iran? What’s the chances of seeing a regime change in Iran in 10 years time? A prominent NYT journalist got called out for sloppy reporting on Iran’s nuclear program; but the offenses go far beyond the paper of record. Last November, the Iranian regime’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei ordered the Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) to “do whatever it takes” to end the nationwide protests that sprang up spontaneously after Tehran announced sudden hikes in the government-set price of gasoline. This is what they do—regime change and color revolutions around the world, one way or another. Analysis: Did Albania’s Economy Develop During Communism? The engineered fake protests in Iran this weekend were then immediately followed by an attack on a gas pipeline in southern Iran claimed by a radical Sunni terrorist group. Hawks preview strategy to oppose Biden’s ‘woke’ Iran policy, Former envoy: Al-Qaida linked leader an ‘asset’ to US Syria strategy. AUGUST 20, 2015 21:13. Libya has been torn apart by competing outside powers supporting rival proxies. For Iran’s leadership, the annual commemoration offered a reminder of the regime’s endurance and an opportunity for reassurance after an annus … Don’t let facts get in the way of your pursuit for regime change, Amid tensions with Russia, Ukraine says it wants into NATO. By INU Staff INU - It should not have been surprising to anyone that Donald Trump pulled out of the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal last week. Here’s John Bolton Promising Regime Change in Iran by the End of 2018. Even during the holidays or the Olympics like they did in Kiev in 2014. “These figures don’t reflect concessions by Biden — there haven’t been any,” he said. While the regime attempts to portray a functioning democracy, the timing offers an … These elections are devoid of any legitimacy since no real pro-democracy or opposition groups takes part in them. Libya has been torn apart by competing outside powers supporting rival proxies. Why is Biden’s DoD standing behind Trump’s retrograde landmine policy? Former Trump officials and regime change proponents recently gathered to devise a ‘liberal’ case against diplomacy. Iran Regime Change by 2021? (Mark Wilson/Getty Images) Bring it up and you will be scorned as a warmonger, a fomenter of chaos. (Mark Wilson/Getty Images) Reader comment on item: Support Assad. Iran Regime Change by 2021? ... so don’t expect internally driven regime change. "The Iran Regime-Change Crew Is Back. Hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was voted out On February 21, 2020, Iran holds its 11th parliamentary elections. Albania: Rama’s Obsession With Tall Buildings Reminiscent Of Communism. The Iranian government spokesman says the country forecasts “with certainty” that sanctions imposed by Washington against Iran will soon be removed. We advocate regime change for a free Iran that will end government corruption, environmental disasters, as well as human rights violations, carried out systematically by the Iranian regime. To this, too, the answer is yes. “This is not accurate, Mark. The US has, however, stopped short of calling for regime change in Iran and has thus far avoided striking targets inside of Iran. The engineered fake protests in Iran this weekend were then immediately followed by an attack on a gas pipeline in southern Iran claimed by a radical Sunni terrorist group. Iran’s parliamentary election is best understood as one held by a regime in fear of its unraveling in the hands of Iranian people, paralyzed with international isolation, but the future of Iran should be examined through it promising and a woman-led alternative. Opposition to Iran's clerical regime, in the form of street protests and armed attacks on government officials and installations, has been around since the country's 1979 Islamic revolution. — Secretary Pompeo (@SecPompeo) October 29, 2018. Nostradamus’ prediction “too great a faith will betray the monarch” refers to the powerful religious movement that toppled the Shah. Saudi Arabia Goes Long On Russian Gas Sector, But At What Cost? President Rouhani was speaking at Tehran University, he said, “Over the past 40 years, there has not … Even during the holidays or the Olympics like they did in Kiev in 2014. The Saudi oil field attacks the U.S. blames on Iran and Tehran's threats of all-out war with the U.S. show that American should pursue regime change. The Iranian regime is completely mired in domestic and international crises. 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Regime change has become a loaded term, especially in the fifteen-years after a U.S. invasion ousted Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, but when Khamenei dies, it is inevitable in Iran… The role Foundation for the Defense of Democracies served as a messaging hub for a controversial taxpayer-funded project, has never been revealed until now. This week: Iran will likely provide an early test for Biden and his national security team. They don’t want regime change, they insist: they just want the Islamic Republic’s theocrats to change their behavior. Prediction: Iran's present regime is not going to last the year. Submitted by PezDispenser (Israel), Apr 14, 2013 at 15:54. Its military history dates back more than 2,500 years. The 1953 Iranian coup d'état, known in Iran as the 28 Mordad coup d'état (Persian: کودتای ۲۸ مرداد ), was the overthrow of the democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh in favour of strengthening the monarchical rule of the Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi on 19 August 1953. The IMF estimate is from last year, months before Biden took office,” Rasmussen tweeted at Dubowitz. Over the weekend, Dubowitz tweeted a passage from a Wall Street Journal article that noted an IMF report that “predicts Iran’s economy will return to 3.2% growth in 2021, following a 5% contraction in 2020, on the back of expanded oil sales and a stronger domestic industry.” Dubowitz blamed President Biden’s failure to maintain his predecessor’s “maximum pressure” campaign for the IMF’s alarming forecast. Again without underestimating the power in the hands of the mullahs, the truth is that Iran today, far from being the island of calm portrayed in some leading American newspapers, is more nearly like a heaving volcano, ready to explode. Each Friday, I look at what is happening in President-Elect Joe Biden’s transition to the White House. Ninety-Nine Red Balloons…Deep State (Obama) May Get Its War With Russia. Time for regime change in Iran "We should empower Iran’s democratic opposition to topple the regime." “Regime change in Iran is within reach. The old saying, "predictions of my demise are premature," certainly applies to the rulers of Iran. In an opinion piece published by the daily newspaper Iran, Ali Rabiei said the administration of new US President Joe Biden is likely to forswear the policy of pressuring Iran. Opposition to Iran's clerical regime, in the form of street protests and armed attacks on government officials and installations, has been around since the country's 1979 Islamic revolution. That’s the goal of NCRI and Maryam Rajavi.” Senator Martha McSally (R-AZ) and Rep. Lance Gooden (R-TX) also spoke at … Part of that campaign requires spreading a lot of mis- or disinformation, and Dubowitz himself has been a fervent participant in those efforts. “The growth prediction is mostly based on Iran’s own economic performance under sanctions.”, Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, the founder of Bourse & Bazaar and a visiting fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, also noted the rather glaring misdirection of blame, tweeting that the IMF’s estimate was issued last October before the elections. It won’t happen because that would mean the Atlantic alliance would have to mobilize for war. Iran is a theocratic republic with a supreme US President Donald Trump pulled out of Iran Nuclear deal on May 8 and announced to re-impose the economic sanctions on Iran in two phases. Outcome: Correct. ©2021 Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Iran warns of 'harsh revenge' as US dispatches 3,500 troops to region. “That’s why this is occurring.”. And no amount of facts or empirical evidence demonstrating what a bad idea that is will get in the way. Will Senate Dems join Lindsey Graham’s effort to blow up the Iran nuclear deal? Excluding Iran from oil markets would certainly help realize that prediction. A new Iran deal is unlikely regardless of who wins in November. For that prediction he was jailed for five years and stripped of his religious honorific. The World Trade Organization has assessed in 2020 there will be a 13% to 32% drop in world trade, with Iran at the top end of that range, at least 32%, due to 70% of Iran’s exports consisting of oil and petrochemical products ( State-run Hamshahri Newspaper May 12, 2020). Andrew Buncombe. January 18, 2020 / 0 Comments / in Commentary , National Security , News , Policy , Politics / by The Daily Signal It’s fine for astrologers and bookmakers to make predictions, but there’s no absolute certainty about what the future holds. Elections in theocratic Iran are neither free nor fair and primarily staged to provide a deceptive show of popular legitimacy. And in Syria, Russia and Iran—determined to undermine U.S.-sponsored regime change in part lest Americans get the idea of trying it one day in Moscow or Tehran—responded to every U.S. escalation with a counterescalation of their own. The committee heard testimony on the Trump administration's policies on Iran, Iraq and the use of force. Why? Saeed Ghasseminejad: President Joe Biden would give Iran what it wants most — so Iran hopes he defeats Trump A Biden victory would prop up the Iranian regime. In 2020, Trump reversed a total ban by Obama. Will Russia Aid The New American Confederacy? The country in its present form—the Islamic Republic of Iran— was established in 1979 after the Islamic Revolu-tion. Contact us for more information on the latest news on Iran protests, human rights violations, and the state of the economy. Furthermore, his secretaries of state and defense have repeatedly insisted Washington is not seeking a “regime change” in Iran. Foundation for the Defense of Democracies CEO Mark Dubowitz is best known for his leadership in promoting “economic warfare” against Iran as a means to foment regime change in Tehran or outright war with the Islamic Republic.. Part of that campaign requires spreading a lot of mis- or disinformation, and Dubowitz himself has been a fervent participant in those efforts. Over the weekend, Dubowitz tweeted a passage from a Wall Street Journal article that noted an IMF report that “predicts Iran’s economy will return to 3.2% growth in 2021, following a 5% contraction in 2020, on the back of expanded oil sales and a stronger domestic industry.” Dubowitz blamed President Biden’s failure to maintain his predecessor’s “maximum pressure” campaign for the … Regime change in Iran is one of the biggest taboos in U.S. foreign policy. The committee heard testimony on the Trump administration's policies on Iran, Iraq and the use of force. Failure Forecast: Sanctions Won't Work on Iran. Many of the young Iranian protesters appear to want regime change—and Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, is no spring chicken. Date: February 2012 Prediction: Iran's present regime is not going to last the year. 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